Bill Gross has founded a lot of start-ups, and incubated many others — and he got curious about why some succeeded and others …
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I think it's important to stick to stocks that are immune to economic policies. AI stocks that have the potential to power and transform future technologies. It seems AI is the trajectory most companies are taking, including even established FAANG companies. Maybe there are other recommendations?
IN SHORT: Due diligence and management, management, management
00:14 – Eigenkapitalanreize und Organisation sind der Schlüssel zum Erfolg von Startups
01:09 – Team, Ausführung, Anpassungsfähigkeit könnten wichtiger sein als die Idee
01:59 – Anpassungsfähigkeit an Kundenfeedback ist entscheidend für den Erfolg von Startups.
02:46 – Erfolgfaktoren von Start-ups
03:36 – Timing ist der wichtigste Grund für den Erfolg von Startups
04:24 – Timing ist ein entscheidender Faktor für den Erfolg von Startups
05:13 – Timing ist entscheidend für den Erfolg von Startups
05:59 – Ausführung und Idee sind wichtig, aber das Timing ist entscheidend.
good speech!
Thank you for the great explanation sir ✨
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Interesting, however you only know if the timing was good in hindsight. (so if the idea worked). So because it succeeded, it created a market that didn’t exist, therefore it was good timing. Would you still consider the Airbnb example “good timing” if it weren’t a success?
most important is continuous funding period….not just one round.
Great video 👍🏻
They have a product people want to buy
sktrrrrr lan timingi yerim executionın içinde timing yoksa idea planningde yoksa öyle startupın ben. timingi nasıl ölçtün ipne herif neye göre kime göre yaz istatistiği araştırmanı okuyalım nasıl ölçüyormuşsun bu timingi. başaralı olan her startupa abi tam zamanınd çıktı ya demek kolay nerde bunun mantığı neye göre? fkkkoffffffff
Excellent speech! 👏🏽
But how do you manipulate timing? 😂
When TED was still good.
Love This and makes so much sense one of the best ted talks on start-ups
I got 2 out of 2.
Timing means preconditions exist and a great team will fix the the remaining deficiencies.
You either need funding or a business model. Saying both are unimportant is line saying both are important. It‘s exclusive or = 1
Such an incredible post!! I am so glad i stumbled on that this morning, its shaped how my week will go for sure. What a guy!
Thank you so much for this video. Very interesting.
They’re telling you exactly what’s going on and what’s about to happen
Timing = Luck
Exactly what made them a 'great audience"???
But how can we be sure of timing? Its not a dependent variable that can be tweaked to our side.
While timing is undoubtedly important, here are some counterarguments with logical reasoning against his claim:
### *1. Survivorship Bias in Data*
Gross's analysis is based on a selection of successful and failed startups, but it may suffer from **survivorship bias**—focusing only on known cases rather than all possible ventures. Many startups fail due to poor execution, bad leadership, or flawed business models, not just bad timing. If a startup has a strong team and product-market fit, it can often pivot and find the right timing rather than relying on external market conditions.
### *2. Execution Matters More Than Timing*
A startup may be early to the market (e.g., Google was not the first search engine, and Facebook was not the first social network), but **a great team with strong execution can iterate and adapt**. Companies like Tesla had bad timing initially (EVs were not mainstream), but their execution and technological advancements helped them succeed later.
### *3. Timing Alone Does Not Guarantee Success*
Several startups entered the market at the "right time" but still failed due to poor leadership, lack of innovation, or bad marketing. For example:
– *Friendster (2002)* had great timing before Facebook, but it failed due to technical issues and poor user experience.
– *WeWork (2010s)* was in the right time frame for co-working spaces but had an unsustainable business model.
### *4. Market Creation vs. Market Entry*
Some of the most successful startups created markets instead of just entering at the right time. *Apple (iPhone, iPad), Amazon (AWS), and Netflix (streaming)* did not wait for the perfect moment—they built demand through innovation and user experience. Timing might have helped, but their execution, leadership, and business models were more crucial.
### *5. Adaptability is More Important Than Perfect Timing*
Instead of waiting for the perfect moment, many startups succeed because they **learn, adapt, and pivot**. Slack started as a gaming company before pivoting into team communication. If timing were the ultimate factor, startups wouldn't need to pivot—they would just launch at the "perfect" time and succeed instantly.
### *Conclusion*
While timing is a factor in startup success, it is **not the single biggest reason**. Execution, adaptability, innovation, and strong leadership often outweigh market timing. Many startups survive and thrive despite bad timing, while others with perfect timing fail due to poor business decisions.
Start startup Working Most Successful All The Time okay 🤫💡🧠🌎
What a bunch of bullshit
Shouldn't all the factors add up to 100%? 42 + 32 + 28 + 24 + 14 = 140.